Better trading decisions start with better source data.

BeliefState gives your AI point-in-time investor beliefs with citations, revisions, and measured outcomes. Ask by ticker, thesis, or investor.

The BeliefState mark is formed from live particles while a validation signal travels from source evidence to a qualified outcome.

Give your AI the source, not another summary.

Every record begins with who said it, where, and when. Exact evidence lets your AI separate a public call from a retelling after the move. Inspect a live record.

Data your AI receives

Identity
Investor, source account, and security
Evidence
Exact excerpt, source URL, and citation
Timing
Published, observed, and point-in-time cutoff
190.00187.50185.00182.50180.00177.50175.00172.50170.00167.50165.0009:3010:3011:3012:3013:3014:3015:30
Realized PnL
+10.4%
Time in position
Closed after 2H 42M

Give your AI the thesis behind the ticker.

BeliefState turns each claim into a record your AI can compare over time. Missing confidence, unclear horizons, and unresolved questions stay explicit. Read the measurement method.

Data your AI receives

Belief
Direction, thesis, horizon, and confidence
Reasoning
Catalysts, evidence, risks, and invalidation
Change history
Strengthened, weakened, reversed, abandoned, or resolved
  1. Source

    Find the original call.

    BeliefState saves the source text and publication time before the market moves.

  2. Claim

    Pull out the actual claim.

    BeliefState keeps the source language and records the bearish idea it will test.

  3. Period

    Measure from publication.

    BeliefState compares KNSL with SPY from the May 6 close through June 30, 2026.

  4. Outcome

    Count the outcome.

    The result joins the source’s record. Losses stay in.

The Bear CaveSubstack · Edwin Dorsey
1 of 4
Ticker
KNSL
Timestamp
Direction
Bearish
“The Bear Cave concludes that Kinsale’s business is unsustainable and of low quality.”

Source captured

Article, author, URL, and publication timestamp saved together.

Public source preview

Give your AI judgment it can test.

Every belief keeps the same evidence and clock through measurement. Your AI gets market-relative results and source history, including losses and insufficient samples. Inspect scored beliefs.

Data your AI receives

Measurement
Baseline, horizon, security return, and benchmark return
Result
Direction-adjusted excess return and outcome label
Track record
Comparable calls, sample size, hit rate, and conclusion
$RKLB I’ve doubled my position. Price is showing strong bullish divergence while sitting on the 0.618 fib. I expect Wave B to start next.
Investor recordEcho Analysis
Tracking
Add

$RKLB

+$510.60vs SPY after two sessions
RKLB
$10,659.77
SPY
$10,149.17

$60.93$64.95 · Jul 30 open to Jul 31 close · same $10,000

Why investors can trust the record

  • ~$18.6M

    volume tracked

  • ~1,284

    calls resolved

  • ~12,864

    records indexed

  • ~5,427

    revisions tracked

  • 4

    path quality signals

  • 100%

    receipts linked

Give your AI the best trading information possible.

Compare access, add credit, then choose your connection.

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