VerificationSources6 min
How to Verify a Stock Call
A practical method for checking who made a stock call, what they actually claimed, when they published it, and what happened afterward.
Read guideBeliefState Learn
Learn how to test a market claim before trusting it.
Practical methods for checking sources, preserving timestamps, measuring outcomes, and separating a real track record from a winning screenshot.
Start with evidence
Evidence field guides.
5 guides
InvestorsTrack records6 min
How to Track an Investor’s Stock Picks
Build an investor track record from original public calls without losing timestamps, changed views, losing ideas, or benchmark context.
Read guidePerformanceBenchmarks7 min
How to Measure Stock-Call Performance
Measure a public stock call with consistent entry prices, fixed time windows, benchmark returns, and visible pending or losing outcomes.
Read guideThesesEvidence6 min
What Makes a Credible Investment Thesis
A credible investment thesis states the claim, supporting evidence, time horizon, material risks, and conditions that would prove it wrong.
Read guideEvidenceSelection bias5 min
Why Screenshots Aren’t a Track Record
Winning screenshots omit source context, selection rules, changed calls, losses, and benchmark comparisons needed to judge an investor’s record.
Read guideSee the method applied
Move from explanation to inspectable evidence.
BeliefState keeps public calls connected to original sources, timestamps, stated risks, revisions, and measured outcomes.