The original IREN bearish call, with proof attached.
Kevin Xu published this IREN bearish call on May 8, 2026. BeliefState keeps the exact source evidence, stated risk, and measured outcomes attached.
Updated: today
Direct answer
NEW TRADE: ALL IN $HIMS
This record attributes a bearish sell call on IREN to Kevin Xu. It was published on . BeliefState preserves the exact source evidence, stated limits, and every measured market-relative outcome without hiding losing or pending periods.
Structured record fields
- Investor
- Kevin Xu · @kevinxu
- Position
- sell · bearish
- Published
- Time horizon
- Not stated in source
- Price target
- Not stated in source
- Review status
- Accepted · Public
- Extraction method
- kevin-xu-ytd-user-reviewed-v1 · 99% confidence
Exact source evidence
“NEW TRADE: ALL IN $HIMS”Verify original source
What would prove the thesis wrong
No invalidation condition was stated in the source.
Market-relative outcome ledger
Direction-adjusted security return minus benchmark return across fixed market-session windows.
| Sessions | Excess return | Result | Baseline | Horizon |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | +0.6% | flat | 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-08 |
| 5 | +6.6% | working | 2026-05-08 | 2026-05-14 |
| 21 | +4.1% | working | 2026-05-08 | 2026-06-08 |
| 42 | +27.9% | working | 2026-05-11 | 2026-07-10 |
| 63 | — | pending | 2026-05-11 | Pending |
| 126 | — | pending | 2026-05-11 | Pending |
| 252 | — | pending | 2026-05-11 | Pending |
| 504 | — | pending | 2026-05-08 | Pending |
What this page proves
Claim, evidence, timing, and result stay together.
The statement is BeliefState’s structured reading of the call. The quoted evidence is the exact source text used to support that reading. Open the original source to inspect the surrounding context.
Outcomes are direction-adjusted against a benchmark across fixed market-session windows. They measure the published call, not the author’s private position, sizing, execution, or later trades.